Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.065224 0.070448 0.075722 0.081436 0.087446 0.093571 0.100279
2025-05-18 0.054407 0.061864 0.069653 0.078368 0.087819 0.097732 0.108889
2025-05-25 0.047642 0.056707 0.066465 0.077686 0.090170 0.103574 0.118992
2025-06-01 0.042303 0.052518 0.063816 0.077129 0.092275 0.108862 0.128294
2025-06-08 0.039632 0.051014 0.063896 0.079386 0.097331 0.117301 0.141035
2025-06-15 0.036945 0.049210 0.063397 0.080775 0.101243 0.124348 0.152161
2025-06-22 0.034365 0.047301 0.062575 0.081613 0.104377 0.130410 0.162110
2025-06-29 0.031741 0.045129 0.061256 0.081697 0.106494 0.135198 0.170526
2025-07-06 0.030484 0.044551 0.061786 0.083936 0.111125 0.142910 0.182367
2025-07-13 0.028038 0.042287 0.060082 0.083309 0.112195 0.146331 0.189101
2025-07-20 0.026215 0.040711 0.059138 0.083531 0.114223 0.150846 0.197109
2025-07-27 0.025012 0.039878 0.059074 0.084803 0.117507 0.156856 0.206914
2025-08-03 0.024284 0.039681 0.059857 0.087209 0.122300 0.164838 0.219297
2025-08-10 0.021572 0.036580 0.056681 0.084392 0.120427 0.164585 0.221632
2025-08-17 0.019937 0.034903 0.055321 0.083867 0.121406 0.167817 0.228218
2025-08-24 0.018447 0.033340 0.054037 0.083373 0.122370 0.170996 0.234726
2025-08-31 0.018051 0.033371 0.054938 0.085802 0.127137 0.178980 0.247253
2025-09-07 0.017379 0.032941 0.055162 0.087291 0.130669 0.185415 0.257879
2025-09-14 0.016569 0.032248 0.054972 0.088186 0.133403 0.190835 0.267253
2025-09-21 0.015576 0.031207 0.054233 0.088280 0.135043 0.194845 0.274853
2025-09-28 0.015300 0.031294 0.055124 0.090646 0.139735 0.202805 0.287504
2025-10-05 0.014204 0.029980 0.053897 0.089986 0.140314 0.205426 0.293355
2025-10-12 0.013419 0.029133 0.053326 0.090221 0.142083 0.209584 0.301173